BOS@PIT

Thu, Nov 5, 6:10 PM CT · Team stats from the Team Rankings snapshot 2026-11-05 (saved Thu, Nov 5, 9:45 AM CT)

Public snapshot captured 2:33 PM CT. The 3:00 PM CT update is due shortly. The production model below is the saved public snapshot, not a live run.

Production modelPublished model projection · unaffected by the research layer belowProjected total 6.54

BOSAway

Proj. goals3.25

Win prob.38.7%fair +158

Starting goalieJeremy SwaymanProbableLineup may change

PITHome

Proj. goals3.86

Win prob.61.3%fair -158

Starting goalieArturs SilovsProbableLineup may change

Win probability includes overtime and shootouts.

Research layerResearch context only. The team statistics below are a separate research layer. They do not feed or change the production model.

BOS advantages 0 (0 off · 0 def)PIT advantages 6 (3 off · 3 def)Even 8

BOS: No major matchup edge

PIT biggest advantage: offense HDCF/60 1st vs BOS HDCA/60 24th (5v5)

Counts of the moderate/strong labels below; not a model score.

Top Matchup EdgesThe largest rank and value differences already shown in the rows below (strong or moderate only). Not recommendations.

PIT OFF vs BOS DEF

High-danger chances / 60 · HDCF/60 vs HDCA/60 · 5v5

1stvs24th

▲ Strong offensive advantage

PIT OFF vs BOS DEF

Scoring chances / 60 · SCF/60 vs SCA/60 · 5v5

7thvs20th

▲ Moderate offensive advantage

PIT OFF vs BOS DEF

Expected goals / 60 · xGF/60 vs xGA/60 · 5v5 score & venue adjusted

7thvs17th

▲ Moderate offensive advantage

BOS OFF vs PIT DEF

Shot attempts / 60 · CF/60 vs CA/60 · 5v5

20thvs7th

▼ Moderate defensive advantage

BOS OFF vs PIT DEF

Power play vs penalty kill · PP% vs PK% · Special teams

20thvs10th

▼ Moderate defensive advantage

BOS OFF vs PIT DEF

Scoring chances / 60 · SCF/60 vs SCA/60 · 5v5

17thvs7th

▼ Moderate defensive advantage

Top third for that unitMiddle thirdBottom thirdTendency (not good/bad)Offense cardDefense cardRank 1 = best for that unit.

Overall · team vs team

Share and record metrics already combine offense and defense, so they are compared side by side and never labeled as matchup edges.

Metric

BOS

PIT

Expected goals share (xGF%)5v5 score & venue adjusted

15th50.7%

7th54.3%

Expected goals share (xGF%)All situations

21st48.7%

9th51.6%

Shot attempt share (CF%)5v5

19th48.8%

8th52.7%

Goals share (GF%)All situations

2nd60.0%

23rd48.5%

Goal differential / 60All situations

3rd+1.17

23rd−0.20

Points %Season · NHL.com

4th71.9%11-4-1

29th40.0%5-8-2

5v5 & shots · offense vs defense

Per-60 rates are season-to-date only; no last-10 split is stored for them.

BOS OffensevsPIT Defense

Expected goals / 605v5 score & venue adjustedadjustedEven

BOS OFFxGF/60

12th2.76

16 GP

PIT DEFxGA/60

11th2.48

15 GP

Expected goals / 60All situationsrawEven

BOS OFFxGF/60

21st3.07

16 GP

PIT DEFxGA/60

13th3.03

15 GP

Shots on goal / 60All situationsrawEven

BOS OFFSF/60

20th25.91

16 GP

PIT DEFSA/60

17th27.17

15 GP

Shot attempts / 605v5raw▼ Moderate defensive advantage

BOS OFFCF/60

20th53.94

16 GP

PIT DEFCA/60

7th52.59

15 GP

High-danger chances / 605v5rawEven

BOS OFFHDCF/60

14th11.47

16 GP

PIT DEFHDCA/60

6th9.82

15 GP

Scoring chances / 605v5raw▼ Moderate defensive advantage

BOS OFFSCF/60

17th26.43

16 GP

PIT DEFSCA/60

7th24.88

15 GP

PIT OffensevsBOS Defense

Expected goals / 605v5 score & venue adjustedadjusted▲ Moderate offensive advantage

PIT OFFxGF/60

7th2.95

15 GP

BOS DEFxGA/60

17th2.68

16 GP

Expected goals / 60All situationsrawEven

PIT OFFxGF/60

15th3.23

15 GP

BOS DEFxGA/60

17th3.22

16 GP

Shots on goal / 60All situationsrawEven

PIT OFFSF/60

14th27.43

15 GP

BOS DEFSA/60

19th27.51

16 GP

Shot attempts / 605v5rawEven

PIT OFFCF/60

9th58.58

15 GP

BOS DEFCA/60

18th56.57

16 GP

High-danger chances / 605v5raw▲ Strong offensive advantage

PIT OFFHDCF/60

1st13.90

15 GP

BOS DEFHDCA/60

24th12.24

16 GP

Scoring chances / 605v5raw▲ Moderate offensive advantage

PIT OFFSCF/60

7th29.70

15 GP

BOS DEFSCA/60

20th27.36

16 GP

Special teams

BOS OffensevsPIT Defense

Power play vs penalty killSpecial teamsraw▼ Moderate defensive advantage

BOS OFFPP%

20th20.0%

16 GP

PIT DEFPK%

10th82.1%

15 GP

PIT OffensevsBOS Defense

Power play vs penalty killSpecial teamsrawEven

PIT OFFPP%

23rd18.2%

15 GP

BOS DEFPK%

18th76.4%

16 GP

Goaltending & finishing

BOSJeremy SwaymanProbable

2026-27 season · research context · ranked among 65 qualifying goalies

GP · TOI12729 min

GAA2.3110th of 65

xGA/60 · tendency3.0131st of 65

PITArturs SilovsProbable

2026-27 season · research context · ranked among 65 qualifying goalies

GP · TOI10603 min

GAA2.9832nd of 65

xGA/60 · tendency2.9024th of 65

Shooting %, save %, PDO and finishing above expected are tendencies. They are shown for context and never produce matchup labels.

BOS FinishingvsPIT Goaltending

Shooting % vs save %5v5 · tendency

BOS OFFSH%

7th11.5%

16 GP

PIT DEFSV%

28th88.8%

15 GP

Finishing vs goals saved above expectedAll situations · tendency

BOS OFFGF−xGF /60

5th+0.44

16 GP

PIT DEFGSAx /60

29th−0.30

15 GP

PIT FinishingvsBOS Goaltending

Shooting % vs save %5v5 · tendency

PIT OFFSH%

14th9.8%

15 GP

BOS DEFSV%

1st94.2%

16 GP

Finishing vs goals saved above expectedAll situations · tendency

PIT OFFGF−xGF /60

15th−0.10

15 GP

BOS DEFGSAx /60

1st+0.88

16 GP

PDO (SH% + SV%)

5v5 · tendency

Values far from 1.000 tend to drift back toward it.

BOStendency

1st1.056

PITtendency

25th0.986

Form & schedule

The last 10 games are most of each team's season (16 and 15 GP), so Season and L10 overlap heavily.

Last-10 numbers come from NHL.com game results (goals, shots, points). Last-10 expected goals are not available from the saved data, so none are shown.

Last 10 points %

Last 10 games

BOSraw

4th75.0% · 7-2-1 in last 10

Season 71.9%

PITraw

27th35.0% · 3-6-1 in last 10

Season 40.0%

Last 10 goals for / game

Last 10 games

BOSraw

5th3.70

Season 3.56

PITraw

25th2.80

Season 3.20

Last 10 goals against / game

Last 10 games

BOSraw

3rd2.50

Season 2.38

PITraw

24th3.60

Season 3.40

Last 10 shot share

Last 10 games · all situations

BOSraw

24th48.5%

Season 48.5%

PITraw

11th50.7%

Season 50.2%

Rest

From the NHL schedule at snapshot time

BOS

2 days rest

Last: 2026-11-02 vs VGK W 2-2

PIT

1 day rest

Last: 2026-11-03 vs VGK L 2-3

Personnel context

BOS

Lineup may change
Goalie: Jeremy Swayman (Probable)

PIT

Lineup may change
Goalie: Arturs Silovs (Probable)

Data used

Team statistics: Team Rankings snapshot 2026-11-05, updated Thu, Nov 5, 9:45 AM CT. Season-to-date regular season.
Production model projections: the published Matchups board.